
Pickaxe
Watch your step.
Introduced: Introduced in Chapter 2, Season 4.
16:9 promo art built from official Fortnite game renders, ready for thumbnails and posts.
Pickaxe Render
arcane-dagger-pickaxe-4k.png · 3840×2160
Fan-made artwork using Epic's in-game renders. Not official Epic Games promotional art.
Overdue by 130 days — could return any day now
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Returned around Halloween in 4 of 7 possible years.
Seasonal information: linked to Fortnitemares, with most of its returns inside that event.
Highlighted dates fell during Fortnitemares.
2025 · 2
2024 · 1
2023 · 6
2022 · 9
2021 · 10
2020 · 3
Estimated windows, most to least likely.
Arcane & Dagger has now been gone 405 days — 182 days past its historical average of 223 days; 6 of its 9 Item Shop returns came during Fortnitemares across 4 years, so we center the prediction on the next Fortnitemares window (Oct 28 – Nov 4) instead of spreading it across the year; its seasonal timing repeats year after year, which raises our confidence in the window.
Everything measured from real Item Shop appearances.
9 recorded appearances, newest first.
6 of its 9 Item Shop returns landed during Fortnitemares across 4 years, so the prediction is centered on the next Fortnitemares window.
Estimated likelihood as the window approaches.
Up 13 points over the last month — a reason to keep checking.
Recalculated automatically · last updated
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